Monday, February 8, 2010

Measuring Cash Flows

  • Free cash flow to equity = Net income - (Capital expenditures - Depreciation) - Change in noncash working capital + (New debt raised - Debt repayment)
  • Free cash flow to firm = Operating income (1 - Tax rate) - (Capital expenditures - Depreciation) - Change in noncash working capital
The expenses incurred by a firm can be categorized into three groups:
  • Operating expenses - like labor and material, which are expected to generate benefits only in the current period
  • Capital expenses - like land, building, and equipment, which are expected to generate benefits over multiple periods
  • Financial expenses - such as interest expenses, which are associated with the use of nonequity financing
Misleading accounting measures of earnings:
  1. The inclusion of capital expenses such as R&D in the operating expenses
  2. Financial expenses such as operating leases expenses that are treated as operating expenses
Capitalized R&D Expenses:
  • To capitalize and value research assets, we make an assumption about how long it takes for R&D to be converted, on average, into commercial products. This is called the amortizable life of these assets
  • Once the amortizable life of R&D expenses has been estimated, the next step is to collect data on R&D expenses over past years ranging back to the amortizable life of the research asset
Value of the research asset =

=> Adjusted book value of equity = Book value of equity + Value of the research asset
=> Adjusted operating income = Operating income + R&D expenses - Amortization of research asset
=> Adjusted net income = Net income + R&D expenses - Amortization of research asset

Techniques for Managing Earnings
  • Planning Ahead
  • Revenue recognition
  • Book revenues early
  • Capitalize operating expenses
  • Write-offs
  • Use reserves
  • Income from investments
Adjustments to Income
  • One-time expenses or income that is truly one-time
  • Expenses and income that do not occur every year but seem to recur at regular intervals
  • Expenses and income that recur every year but with considerable volatility
  • Items that recur every year that change signs - positive in some years and negative in others
Reinvestment Needs
  • Two components go into estimating reinvestment:
  1. Net capital expenditure
  2. Investment in working capital
Net Capital Expenditure :-
  • In estimating net capital expenditure, we generally deduct depreciation from capital expenditure
  • The positive cash flows from depreciation pay for at least a portion of capital expenditures and it is only the excess that represents a drain on the firm's cash flow
  • When estimating the capital expenditures to use for forecasting future cash flows, we should normalize capital expenditures

Method I: by averaging capital expenditures over a number of years

  • Estimate the average capital expenditures over the last four or five years for a manufacturing firm and use that number rather than the capital expenditures from the most recent year

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